Saturday, 26 November 2011

Ranking The NFL Quarterbacks


With the NFL season quickly approaching, I figured it would be a good time to break down and compare the top 32 starting quarterbacks in the league. And what better way to do so than through a list.

Now just for clarification, I'm ranking the starting quarterbacks of each team with a few exceptions. I will still include injured players like Josh Freeman and Donovan McNabb despite the fact that both might not be able to play in Week 1. Sam Bradford will also be on this list because we all know that, at very least, he will be the starter at some point this year.

So here we go:

#32: Matt Leinart/Derek Anderson - Arizona Cardinals: While we await the Cardinals' decision of who will be the starting quarterback come week 1, in my opinion, it doesn't really matter. Matt Leinart plays in slow motion while Derek Anderson is about as erratic as it gets at the quarterback position. Whoever ends up under center for this team is a massive drop off from Kurt Warner and deserves to be ranked 32nd out of the 32 starting quarterbacks.

#31: Alex Smith - San Francisco 49ers: The former number one overall pick has dealt with a lot during his time in San Fran - injuries, demotions, several offensive coordinators, and a severe lack of talent in his own body. While he does make the occasional great throw, it isn't enough for me to put him in the top 30. CAN'T DO IT!!!

#30: Matt Moore - Carolina Panthers: The Panthers appear to be biding their time with Matt Moore until they feel comfortable playing Jimmy Clausen. They wouldn't have drafted Clausen with their first pick (even though it was in the middle of the second round) if they weren't planning on giving Clausen the keys to the car as soon as he's ready to drive. Moore doesn't really stand out in any way. He's got okay arm strength, okay accuracy, okay coverage recognition skills etc...But he isn't the Panthers' long-term solution at quarterback. Clausen is.

#29: Trent Edwards - Buffalo Bills: Trent Edwards hasn't been the model of consistency so far in his NFL career. However, he does have some positive traits. Namely, he has a compact delivery and throws a nice long ball (he throws it high so it drops into the receiver's hands at an angle that is very tough for the DB to get to). However, he doesn't seem to have the ability to find the open receiver if his primary read is covered. You can just see it when you watch him on Sundays. If he isn't ready to throw the ball at the top of his drop and there is any indecision, he starts to panic (the top of a QB's drop is when the primary read receiver should be coming out of his break). This ultimately gets him in trouble on way too many occasions.

#28: Josh Freeman - Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Josh Freeman shows a lot of potential as a young QB. He has a relatively strong arm, and surprisingly, he has some ability to make plays outside the pocket when the play breaks down. But similar to many young quarterbacks, his coverage recognition and decision-making both need to be faster. If he can improve this part of his game significantly in 2010, you could find him cracking the top 20 quarterbacks by the end of this season.

#27: Kevin Kolb - Philadelphia Eagles: Kolb has some big shoes to fill this year. He isn't the most physically talented QB in the league, but last season he showed glimpses of being able to function at a very high level within the framework of an offense that has tons of weapons. This isn't as easy as it sounds. There is a certain level of timing you need to have as a quarterback, even when you are surrounded by a ton of talent. Last year, Kolb showed that he has that type of timing to his game. Now he just needs to put a shaky preseason behind him.

#26: Jake Delhomme - Cleveland Browns: If not for his erratic play, Delhomme might be higher on this list. He does actually have talent and he's shown the ability to make some great throws into small windows throughout the course of his career. There is a lot of Brett Favre in his game. The bad part is, he's like the Brett Favre with all of the bonehead throws and only a fifth of the great throws. John Madden is extremely upset that I just mentioned Delhomme and Favre in the same sentence.

#25: Sam Bradford - St. Louis Rams: If you're a Rams fan, you have to be happy with what Bradford showed this past week against the Patriots. He looked extremely calm in the pocket, which is impressive considering how bad his O-line has been. His accuracy stood out and his arm looked surprisingly strong.

#24: Matt Cassel - Kansas City Chiefs: Expect Cassel to be passed by Bradford as the year progresses. Cassel is the epitome of a system quarterback. He needs a lot of talent around him because his overall quarterbacking skills are just good and not great. Isn't it funny to look back to the 2008 season when many fans and Boston media-types where trying to argue that the Patriots should trade Brady in the off-season and sign Cassel to a long-term deal. Haha, classic.

#23: Mark Sanchez - New York Jets: Jets fans everywhere are outraged! They are screaming at their computers right now and cursing my name for putting Mark Sanchez so low. But what can I say? Despite whatever potential Sanchez may or may not have, right now he is not a good NFL quarterback. This doesn't mean he won't be a good quarterback in the future. But let's face it, it's not like he has a cannon. It's not like he dazzles us with his accuracy, coverage recognition, or poise on a week-in week-out basis. He's got a lot of work to do. The good news is that it can't get any worse for Sanchez than it has been this preseason.

#22: David Garrard - Jacksonville Jaguars: Garrard continues to play at a relatively high level for the Jaguars. He has been a rock for this organization for the last few years. To be quite honest with you, Garrard throws a really nice ball and is very accurate. His big issue is that he is late with a lot of his throws, and therefore, the timing between he and his receivers is off on too many plays. Better coverage recognition and anticipation skills could have Garrard playing at a much higher level.

#21: Kyle Orton - Denver Broncos: Orton is physically limited as a passer. However, he is still a steady quarterback. He won't make a ton of mistakes and he'll work within the design of the offense, but he can tend to be a little slow getting rid of the ball at times. In the end, Orton is a steady field general who won't lose many games for your team. The problem is he won't win many games for your team either.

#20: Jason Campbell - Oakland Raiders: Campbell does have a strong arm, and when things are clicking around him, he has the ability to make a defense pay. However, the inconsistencies in his game are not just related to the players and offensive coordinators he's had around him. They are more related to his problems locking onto receivers and taking too long to get rid of the ball. A quicker tempo to his game might bump him up a few notches on this list.

#19: Matt Hasselbeck - Seattle Seahawks: When he's playing well, Hasselbeck is fun to watch. He's accurate, he'll throw the ball from all angles, and he does anything and everything he can to manipulate the defense. Arm strength has really been the only thing missing from his repertoire throughout his career. However, a weak arm is a problem for a quarterback. It leaves less margin for error. More things around you have to go perfectly for you to be effective. I agree with the belief that you don't need a great arm to be a great quarterback. But you better be damn good at everything else to make up for what you lack in arm strength. Hasselbeck is good at everything else, but he isn't THAT good.

#18: Vince Young - Tennessee Titans: A lot of people out there probably think there is no way 17 quarterbacks in the NFL are better than Vince Young. But those people are probably lending more weight to Young's running skills and his performance against USC in the National Championship game than they are to his pocket passing skills. Always remember, the most important thing for a quarterback is his ability to throw the ball from the pocket. Why do so many analysts and experts look at a player's running ability to determine whether he's a good quarterback? Generally, if you can't throw the ball, you're going to have problems playing the position; problems that running around the field in circles won't solve. I will say that Young has improved his ability to throw the ball from the pocket in the last year or so. But in the end, he still needs to get A LOT better at playing the position the right way - the consistent way. Mobility outside of the pocket can give you an edge over other mediocre passers, but it won't get you into the upper echelon of the NFL quarterback ranks.

#17: Chad Henne - Miami Dolphins: If you've watched Henne this preseason, you've seen how comfortable he looks hanging in the pocket and finding the open receiver. His anticipation skills are solid and he has enough arm strength to make all of the necessary throws. He'll have some ups and downs this year as all young quarterbacks do, but ultimately, this guy has the tools to be a very good QB and a rock for the Dolphins Organization for the next ten years.

#16: Matt Ryan - Atlanta Falcons: Ryan is the type of quarterback who does everything the right way. He has good pocket presence, he's accurate, and he knows where to go with the ball for the most part. Last year, we saw a bit of a regression for Ryan. He battled injuries, and Atlanta's running game was nowhere near as effective as it was in 2008. Yet with two seasons of experience and learning now under his belt, expect Ryan to look a little bit more like a seasoned vet in 2010.

#15: Joe Flacco - Baltimore Ravens: The general consensus on Joe Flacco is that he had a down sophomore year after a great rookie season. I disagree entirely with this sentiment. If you remember, Flacco had some good moments his rookie season, but by and large, he rode the coattails of the rest of his team. Last year, he not only showed signs of being able to manage an offense, but he also showed that he has the ability to create a ton of big plays. He's tall, calm in the pocket, has a great arm, and throws the ball to the outside as well as any quarterback in the league. With the addition of Anquan Boldin to the receiving corps this season, I expect Flacco to have a big year.

#14: Matt Schaub - Houston Texans: Schaub is not a physically talented passer, but he's accurate and a good anticipator. He reads coverage well, and seems to know where to go with the ball. Yes he does have a huge, enormous, gigantic, non-human, and totally unfair weapon in Andre Johnson, but Schaub's 4,770 passing yards last season are tough to argue with.

#13: Matthew Stafford - Detroit Lions: I know, Stafford threw a lot of picks last season, and he's young, and he's raw. So what. This guy has immense talent. He can make throws that only one or two other QB's in the league can make. And if you've been watching him this preseason, it's clear he has taken a big growth step from his rookie year. He looks so calm, comfortable, and in control. A lot of QB's have talent. The best ones mix talent with hard work and the ability to play the game intelligently. I strongly believe Stafford is on his way to becoming the type of QB who puts it all together. It took every ounce of strength in my body to refrain from putting this guy in the top ten. By season's end, I'm confident he will be there.

#12: Tony Romo - Dallas Cowboys: Romo has shown prolonged moments of brilliance, as well as the tendency to crumble against good defenses. He is an accurate passer who gets rid of the ball quickly. He has the ability to keep plays alive and find open receivers after the play has broken down (this is different than being a running QB). His biggest problem, though, is the blitz. He can't seem to stay in the pocket against pressure. This leads to some big plays here and there when he gets to the outside, but it also leads to some bad plays and a lack of consistency. If Romo wants to make the leap to being a great quarterback and not just a good one, he'll need to be firmer in the pocket against pressure.

#11: Eli Manning - New York Giants: You could make the argument that Romo and Eli are interchangeable. But I like Eli's consistency better. He knows where to go with the ball, even against the blitz. Ultimately, Eli and Romo are similar in overall ability despite having different playing styles. I just feel that with Eli, you know what you're going to get. And you can always count on him to be prepared for whatever defense he faces.

#10: Donovan McNabb - Washington Redskins: A new uniform shouldn't change too much about McNabb's game. This is his 12th year in the league. At this point, he is who he is, in terms of both the good and the bad. McNabb has as strong of an arm as any QB in the league. We're talking an absolute cannon. And occasionally he breaks out a throw that no other player in the league can make. But McNabb's biggest problem is that after he makes that phenomenal throw, he'll fire the ball at the running back's feet in the flat on the very next play. McNabb's inconsistencies are heavily rooted in his poor and undisciplined throwing mechanics. But his talent is too good to keep him out of the top 10.

#9: Carson Palmer - Cincinnati Bengals: I love watching Palmer play. The man is tough. Not to mention he's pretty damn good. He's got a strong arm, accuracy, knows what he's doing, and gets rid of the ball on time. Watch closely the next time you see him on TV. He'll get to the top of his drop and fire the ball twenty yards downfield to his receiver in stride several times a game. He really is one of the best in football at playing with timing and rhythm. And this season, he'll have a ton of talent around him on both sides of the ball. Could this be the year the Bengals win a Super Bowl?

#8: Ben Roethlisberger - Pittsburgh Steelers: Say what you want to about Ben Roethlesomething for his off the field issues. He can fire that pigskin. He also might be the toughest quarterback in the league to actually bring to the ground. How many times have we seen him shed multiple 300-pound defenders and then throw an absolute rope thirty yards downfield to a tightly covered receiver and still manage to fit the ball in there? The answer, my friend, is a lot. Yet what many don't realize about Roethlisberger is that when he plays from inside the pocket, he is at his absolute best. His run-around plays make for great highlights, but they don't translate to consistent quarterbacking. For every one great play he has outside of the pocket, he has about 10 incompletions/interceptions/sacks from fleeing the pocket too early and making it up as he goes along. If he was better at playing within the framework of the offense - basically throwing the ball where it's designed to go - with his physical skills, he would be an elite quarterback without question.

#7: Jay Cutler - Chicago Bears: Yes, I have Jay Cutler ahead of Roethlisberger. Their accuracy is comparable, but Cutler has a bit of an edge in arm strength. And maybe I sound like a broken record, but Cutler plays better from inside the pocket. And if you really want to bring it up, he's also quicker, faster, and more athletic than Roethlisberger. He just chooses not to run as much. The thing that Cutler doesn't get enough credit for, though, is his toughness in the face of pressure. He delivers the ball downfield with defenders in his face as well as anyone in the league. He's extremely firm in the pocket. Cutler is at his worst when he makes stupid decisions and throws the ball to well-covered receivers because he thinks he can complete any pass at any time. Yes he is inconsistent. But his inconsistencies stem from correctable things. There is nothing wrong with him mechanically or coverage recognition-wise, and he's as tough as they come at the position. He just needs to scale it back with the stupid throws - something Brett Favre also had to do as a young'un. I believe a no-nonsense Offensive Coordinator like Mike Martz will help Cutler improve this area of his game dramatically.

#6: Philip Rivers - San Diego Chargers: Rivers may have the ugliest throwing motion since Bernie Kosar, but he's accurate, has a strong arm, and does just about everything right when it comes to quarterbacking. He also might throw the best long ball in the game. As I stated in part one of this three day series, to throw a good long-ball you need to throw it high so it drops into the receiver's hands at an angle that is too tough for the defensive back to get to. Rivers does this extremely well. And he can throw it a mile. Don't be fooled by his Kenny Powers throwing motion.

#5: Brett Favre - Minnesota Vikings: Did anyone catch Favre last week against the Seahawks? Did you see some of the throws he made? At age 40, he's still slinging it as well as any other QB in the league. While it's hard to deny that Brett Favre is fun to watch, I wish he'd get more credit for the fact that he does all of the little things right. He has uncanny anticipation skills. He has phenomenal vision and coverage recognition skills. When he throws interceptions, it's rarely because he's fooled, and more so because he trusts his arm too much. His accuracy is also underrated and overshadowed by all of the other flashy things he does. Favre has had an amazing career, obviously. He should go down as easily one of the top five quarterbacks of all time.

#4: Aaron Rodgers - Green Bay Packers: Elite. The only word you need to know to describe Aaron Rodgers. Skill-wise, he has surpassed the 40-year old version of Brett Favre. He can throw the ball a mile. He can make every single type of throw. And his ability to see the field and recognize defenses has grown exponentially since his first start in 2008. Rodgers is the number one reason why the Packers look like the class of the NFC at the moment.

#3: Drew Brees - New Orleans Saints: Drew Brees is an elite quarterback, but not because he finally won a Super Bowl. Nobody is an elite QB solely for winning a title - otherwise Trent Dilfer, Brad Johnson, Mark Rypien, Jeff Hostetler, and so on would have to be classified as such. Brees is elite because he's amazingly accurate and does everything right. He also is such a good anticipator that he completely negates having a poor pass-protecting offensive line. He gets rid of the ball so quickly that the opposing pass rush rarely has time to take advantage of his blockers up front.

#2: Tom Brady - New England Patriots: Brady had a down year in 2009 after coming back from his knee injury. He sported a 96.2 QB rating and threw for 4,398 yards, 28 TD's, and only 13 INT's...Yeah, Brady was terrible. But don't worry Pats fans. This preseason, Brady looks like he's back to his old self (I mean the 2007 version, not the 2009 version that is still better than about 98 percent of all quarterbacks). Brady has one of the strongest arms in the league (a huge improvement from his first few years), pinpoint accuracy, great anticipation, the ability to make any type of throw, and the ability to read coverage quickly. He also has the calmest feet in the pocket of any QB in the league. So get excited, Boston sports fans. You won't have to whine and moan about your hapless Red Sox anymore once the NFL season starts, because Tom Brady is going to have a monster year.

#1: Peyton Manning - Indianapolis Colts: Think of a quarterback skill, any quarterback skill. Chances are, Peyton Manning has it. He can do it all. He can make every possible throw and he can do it against any defense, anywhere, any time. But what sets Manning apart isn't his accuracy, his statistics, or his control of the offense at the line of scrimmage - although those things do set him apart. What separates Manning from the rest is how fast he processes information, how fast he recognizes coverage, and then how quickly he reacts. Don't be fooled by anyone who tells you Manning isn't the top dog because he doesn't have enough rings. Peyton is far and away the best QB in the NFL right now. He might just be the best of all time too.








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2010 New Orleans Saints - NFL Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks


Of all the professional sports, repeating in the NFL might just be the toughest to pull off. Parity is high in the world of pro football and so is short-lived time on top, so the reigning champions will need something extra in the bag if they want to go down in the books as one of the teams to pull of this amazing feat.

Here's the 2010 New Orleans Saints schedule (all times Eastern):

Sept. 9 Minnesota at New Orleans (8:30 PM)

Sept. 20 New Orleans at San Francisco (8:30 PM)

Sept. 26 Atlanta at New Orleans (1:00 PM)

Oct. 3 Carolina at New Orleans (1:00 PM)

Oct. 10 New Orleans at Arizona (4:05 PM)

Oct. 17 New Orleans at Tampa Bay (1:00 PM)

Oct. 24 Cleveland at New Orleans (1:00 PM)

October 31 Pittsburgh at New Orleans (8:20 PM)

Nov. 7 New Orleans at Carolina (1:00 PM)

Nov. 21 Seattle at New Orleans (4:05 PM)

Nov. 25 New Orleans at Dallas (4:15 PM)

Dec. 5 New Orleans at Cincinnati (1:00 PM)

Dec. 12 St. Louis at New Orleans (4:05 PM)

Dec. 19 New Orleans at Baltimore (1:00 PM)

Dec. 27 New Orleans at Atlanta (8:30 PM)

Jan. 2 Tampa Bay at New Orleans (1:00 PM)

New Orleans has most of its roster back from 2009 and are again the favorites to win the NFC South. They remain a media darling this season with a club-record five prime time games: four at night and the franchise's first Thanksgiving Day game, coming at Dallas.

This year's schedule is very manageable as it ranks just 27th in strength of schedule with a cumulative opponents' record of 120-136. Don't expect another 13-win year, however. There are only five games against 2009 playoff teams, although four of those come on the road. Outside of their divisional games, the Saints also face teams in the AFC North and NFC West, that latter division probably to be the worst in football again.

Of course, the Saints as the defending champions will host the NFL season opener on Thursday night, Sept. 9, in a rematch of the NFC Championship Game against the Minnesota Vikings - that's the Saints' lone home game vs. a playoff foe from last year. New Orleans already has opened as a seven-point favorite in that one, although that number would certainly change if by some miracle Brett Favre doesn't don a Minnesota Vikings uniform.

That back-to-back against Pittsburgh and then at Carolina will be a challenge but at least the bye then arrives at a good time. A win over Seattle should be a given before the Saints visit Dallas, the first team to beat New Orleans last year and in pretty dominating fashion. Being as that game is such a quick turnaround, that hugely favors Dallas at home.

The month of December is notable in that New Orleans plays in two cold weather cities in Baltimore and Cincinnati, which is important because the Saints never fare very well in cold weather games. Every divisional game will be key, but it is safe to say that the Saints are well ahead of their quartet in Atlanta, Tampa Bay and Carolina.

This looks like a 10-6 record to me, and I expect the sports books to have the Saints' total at 10.5 so I would go 'under' for those NFL odds. Just about everything went right for New Orleans last year, and it's probably unrealistic to expect Darren Sharper to play at such a high level again. The defense will be a problem again in 2010. I would expect New Orleans to edge the Falcons for the division but don't see the Saints winning the NFC again.








Visit Doc's Sports daily for the latest up-to-the-minute NFL odds and daily exclusive NFL betting content, plus Doc's expert NFL picks with nearly four decades of success.


Saturday, 13 November 2010

NFL Power Rankings Week 5


Expectations were low for the Rams coming into the season, and why shouldn't they be. Coming off a one win season and starting a rookie quarterback, experts didn't think the Rams would win two games all season.

They've won two games in their first four contests and it's due in large part to the maturity of the rookie quarterback Sam Bradford. In his first game as a pro, Bradford dropped back to attempt 55 passes! Talk about easing the rookie into the system. Bradford has been entrusted with the keys to the offense, and the results have been tremendous.

Despite a shortage of receivers (including the season ending injury to Donnie Avery), Bradford has throw for 944 yards and six touchdowns through four games. The competition hasn't been terrific thus far (Arizona, Oakland, Washington and Seattle), but I've got to give props to Steve Spagnuolo and the rest of the coaching staff for the improvement in this Rams team.

If you were to pick a team that will not disappoint this week you might very well pick the New York Jets, whose only loss to the Ravens seems like ages ago.

Since then, the team led by Rex Ryan managed to score victories against the Miami Dolphins, the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills.

Their latest victory against the Bills this week, 38-14 was a real show of power.

However, the Saints and the Ravens aren't looking bad either and as we can't see a definite leader in the NFL yet there are other teams who might start showing some results.

One of them is the New England Patriots who played an amazing game based on defense against the Dolphins and still managed to win 41-14, thanks to players who shined, like Patrick Chung.








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Week 1 NFL Power Rankings - From an Amateur


As week one of the NFL season came and went, some teams won, some teams lost, and some teams, like the Buffalo Bills, had life put in perspective. With only one game down, and fifteen to go, it's hard to get a grasp on who is good, who is bad, and who is just plain awful. But, with our week one power rankings, we are trying to do just that.

Week One:

1. Indianapolis Colts: In what was supposed to be a tight game, Peyton Manning and Reggie Wayne led Indianapolis to a blow out of New Orleans. The only thing the Saints are marching in now is remorse.

2. New England Patriots: We all know that the "real" Super Bowl last year was between the Pats and the Colts. With New England grounding the New York Jets, the same championship may rear its head.

3. San Diego Chargers: Phillip Rivers wasn't exactly a great QB in this game, but the Chargers found a way to win against "Da Bears." Still, if they want to reclaim the chances that evaded them last season, they better make sure their offense isn't offensive to their fans.

4. Dallas Cowboys: Tony Romo, rebounding with greatness from his flub in last year's playoff game, made every Fantasy player wish that he was on their team. If the Cowboys can continue to gel, they'll be the team to beat in the NFC.

5. Denver Broncos: The Denver Broncos have recently not faired well on opening day. This trend, until Jason Elam's literal last second field goal, looked to be continuing. Not only was this a huge road win for Denver, but it was a huge emotional win, and one that will give Jay Cutler a boost to his young confidence.

6. Carolina Panthers: Two words for Carolina fans: they're back. The duo of Jake Delhomme and Steve Smith once again provided the grounds for a solid win, on the road no less. The Panthers defense also did a great job of silencing Steven Jackson. Let's face it, that's not easy to do.

7. Pittsburgh Steelers: Sure, they won big, but let's not get carried away: they were playing the Browns. Nonetheless, Big Ben looked great in his 2007 debut, showing fans that the source of his 2005 power wasn't in his appendix. We'll see how they do when they play a team that doesn't come from Cleveland.

8. Cincinnati Bengals: If the most disappointing part of the Cincinnati games continues to be Chad Johnson's hyped up but lame touchdown celebrations, the Bengals could be in for a great season. They cut it close at the end, but their defense found out how to win. That's what good teams do.

9. Chicago Bears: No, they didn't win, but they did hold one of the NFL's most explosive offenses to only 14 points. Still, if they are going to be contenders, even in the NFC, they have got to have some sort of offense: put in Brian, and give Rex the ax.

10. Seattle Seahawks: They started off slow, but the Seahawks eventually found themselves soaring. If their defense continues to play well, and Shaun Alexander can stay in jury free, they'll make the playoffs. Where they go from there, is anyone's guess.

11. Baltimore Ravens: The loss against the Bengals didn't only hurt the Ravens pride, it also left Steve McNair with a separated shoulder and Ray Lewis with a bicep injury. In light of having more turnovers than a neighborhood bakery, the Ravens have a lot of work to do on offense.

12. New Orleans Saints: Yes, they were manhandled in Indy, but don't count out the Saints just yet. If last year taught us anything, it's that this team, and their fans, are full of heart. Heart wins where talent fails.

13. Philadelphia Eagles: A loss to Green Bay wasn't exactly how Donovan McNabb wanted to begin the season, but writing them off is a huge over reaction. Lambeau field on opening day is one of the hardest places to play. Chalk it up to that and hope the Eagles don't get their feathers this ruffled again.

14. Green Bay Packers: Sunday's game reminded people in Green Bay why they root root root for the home team. In a less than stellar division, Green Bay actually has some playoff potential. They have the experience and leadership of Favre coupled with youthful talent. They are going to surprise some people.

15. Houston Texans: After destroying the Kansas City Chiefs, Houston fans may find themselves with the urge to chant "Super-Bowl, Super-Bowl." But, let's not get too crazy. The Chiefs aren't a very worthy opponent. If the Texans can easily beat someone better, Houston fans may actually have a reason to get excited.

16. Tennessee Titans: With Vince Young and Chris Brown as running threats, the Titans could see an explosive year. What's more, their defense actually played...well, good.

17. San Francisco: Their defense and their offense seemed to have swapped roles, with the defense actually playing great and the offense lacking. Still, Alex Smith won when he had to and Frank Gore, running back extraordinaire, will have a good season. This team will have a better than average year.

18. Minnesota Vikings: The Vikings were truly warriors against the Falcons on Sunday. While they looked great, keep in mind that Atlanta has had one heck of a bad off season. Still, if the Vikings can do this to teams whose seasons haven't been folded by Fido, Minnesotans may find themselves making the NFC north rather competitive.

19. Washington Redskins: It wasn't pretty, but it was a win. Their offense got the job done when it needed to. An overtime win on opening day is always exciting. For now, the Redskins are sitting pretty.

20. Jacksonville Jaguars: The Chicago Bears of the AFC, Jacksonville is lost when opponents score: without their defense dominating, the Jaguars won't win. If their offense doesn't start to do...anything, this is going to be a long, long season.

21. Miami Dolphins: The loss in OT to the Washington Redskins hurt the Fins, both in the standings and emotionally. Still, there are signs of life: Trent Green did well in his debut (he would have done better if his receivers held onto the ball). If their defense can just stop the run, the Dolphins will bounce back.

22. New York Giants: The Giants and Cowboys game was getting exciting, and then the injuries came. The Giants aren't low in the power rankings because they played horribly, but because seemingly their entire team was injured. Brandon Jacobs is out a month, Osi Umenyiora is out for a few months, and Eli Manning is out for at least a game, maybe longer. The Giants will be glad when it's October.

23. Arizona Cardinals: Their defense actually played well against the 49ers. Too bad the same can't be said for their offense. If they are going to have even a mediocre season, the Arizona receivers are going to have to get open so Leinhart has somewhere to pass.

24. Detroit Lions: In what was the anti-Super Bowl preview, the Detroit Lions destroyed the Oakland Raiders. The Lions aren't going to be winning any championships, but their offense should see a productive year. This could be a turning point.

25. New York Jets: Jets fans are realizing that, if they want to be a good team, they are going to have to learn how to play with the big boys. Not only did they lose to the Patriots, but they looked awful. Hopefully the coach they call Man Genius can find a way to win.

26. Buffalo Bills: With thoughts and prayers going out to Kevin Everett, football seems unimportant. Hopefully he, even if his football career is over, can get well and lead a good, fulfilling life.

27. St. Louis Rams: When your star running back has a dismal game, you aren't going to win. Losing at home on opening day is going to be a hard one for the Rams to shake off. Steven Jackson is going to have to turn it around, and not turn it over, if the Rams are going to salvage the season.

28. Atlanta Falcons: It's really too bad that the entire team has to suffer because of one man's inhumane decisions. It would be nice to see Joey Harrington do well. He might not be a better quarterback than Michael Vick, but here's to betting he's a better person.

29. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Don't count this team out just yet....give it a few games. Their defense showed signs of life, but their offense struggled in every sense of the word. Still, Gruden knows how to coach. He'll find some tricks up his sleeve.

30. Oakland Raiders: Even when they were horrendous last year, their defense was great. That appears to no longer be the case. The Chargers and the Broncos are glad the Raiders are in their division.

31. Kansas City Chiefs: Wow this team looks bad. Opponents might even have a chance of winning at Arrowhead in November and December of this year. Like the Raiders, the Chargers and Broncos welcome the Chiefs presence in the AFC West.

32. Cleveland Browns: Look for Brady Quinn to be the starting Quarterback before the season is over. May as well put him in and chalk this up to a "rebuilding" year.








Jennifer Jordan is a senior editor for www.milleniumlimo.com. An avid sports fan, she likes the Miami Dolphins but her heart belongs to the Denver Broncos.


NFL Week 6 Power Rankings


New England at Denver (-3)

Both of these teams are coming off last-second wins. Denver earned a push against the Falcons in Atlanta (31-28) and the Broncos didn't cover at home against Washington (21-19). In a bit of a scheduling quirk, this is Denver's third straight home game. They've won the first two.

The Pats injury report has 18 listings on it - by far the most in the league. But, as we've learned over the last four years, you can't count the Patriots out. They're an absolutely amazing 22-1 (96 percent) when facing teams with a record over .500.

This is the fourth consecutive year Denver has started 4-1, but they were a combined 17-16 after that point from 2002-2004. Under Mike Shanahan the Broncos are an outstanding 65-18 at home. Jake the Snake is making his first ever start against New England, and is 14-3 with a 93.3 rating in his 17 home starts since 2003. Since 1995, the club has allowed a meager 87 rushing yards per game in Mile High Stadium.

Miami at Tampa Bay (-4.5)

Two teams, four running backs, one winner. Ricky's return, the squaring off of college teammates, and a battle for home state bragging rights will be on the line in Tampa.

Ricky Williams will suit up for the first time since fleeing to Southeast Asia to rip tubes. He's served his four-game suspension for substance abuse, and a very interested public will be waiting to see what he has in the tank. However, that means the NFL's former leading rusher is taking carries away from rookie Ronnie Brown.

Tampa Bay is coming off its first loss of the season, but will be benefited by the home crowd and the return of Cadillac Williams. Even without their Caddy, Michael Pittman is a strong runner and one of the best backups in the league. The Bucs defense is allowing only 20.25 yards per drive so far this season - tops in the NFL.

New York Giants at Dallas (-3.5)

The Giants are just 2-5 ATS in their last five trips to Big D, and are 2-4 in their last six road games. The Cowboys, on the other hand, are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home contests. Dallas is 2-4 ATS in both their last six overall and their last six against the G-men.

The Giants are coming off a bye week, which is the only thing that has been able to stop their offense. New York swept this series in 2004, winning by double-digits in each game. The totals in those games were 52 and 36, respectively. Hopefully the Giants worked to shore up a defenses that's ceded 425 yards per game and only forcing punts on 30 percent of opponents' drives.

The Dallas offense has been nearly as potent as New York's. They're averaging 370 yards to New York's 353. The difference is that the Cowboys D gives up just 297 yards per game. Another part of the Cowboys' success has been their 44 percent third-down conversion rate, which is fifth best in the league. Drew Bledsoe is now 9-3 in his last 12 starts. Dat Nguyen will be out this week for Dallas with a chronic stinger.

Carolina at Detroit (-1)

Carolina is an astounding 11-2-1 ATS in its last 14 away games. They barely covered last week, using a late rally to top Arizona 24-20. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games, and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Lions have won three straight at home.

The Panthers converted 12 of their 15 red-zone attempts into TD's, the top rate in the league. Their secondary is still banged up (Chris Gamble is questionable), but they're squaring off against a decimated Detroit receiving corps.

Dre Bly getting into Joey Harrington's face in the Lions' game against the Ravens last week showed everyone just how much respect the QB has among his teammates. Harrington fired back, but the defense has been pulling its weight. Detroit's defense has allowed only a 40 percent TD conversion rate in the red zone (4th best in the league), and have ended opponents possessions with an INT 5 percent of the time (4th best).

Here are my Week 5 Power Rankings:

1) Indianapolis (5-0) - Edgerrin James has rushed for over 100 yards in exactly half of his 86 career games. The Colts are 37-6 when he hits the century mark.

2) Pittsburgh (3-1) - It would be ignorant to play Big Ben against the Jags and jeopardize their season. The offense is averaging 38 yards per drive this season, tops in the league.

3) Denver (4-1) - Only 32 percent of the Broncos offensive drives have ended in punts, the best ratio in the NFL. That proves that Plummer isn't turning it over.

4) New England (3-2) - Pats have a minus 6 turnover differential thus far. If they don't value the rock in Denver it could be over quickly.

5) Atlanta (3-2) - Mora is 9-1 when the Falcons rush for over 200 yards, and they face a New Orleans team that yields 122 on the ground.

6) Cincinnati (4-1) - Chad Johnson is whining about not getting the ball enough, but he's first in the AFC with 31 catches (for 426 yards).

7) Philadelphia (3-2) - The week off came at a good time for the Eagles, who need to regroup and realize their divisional foes are no longer their valets.

8) Carolina (3-2) - The Panthers are above .500 for the first time since the 2003 Super Bowl run.

9) Jacksonville (3-2) - Keep an eye on Ernest Wilford. He's only made 26 catches in his brief career, but three of them were game-winning TDs. The Jags are 4-0 when he scores.

10) Tampa Bay (4-1) - The Tampa Bay defense has faced 44 drives this season and only yielded three TDs.

11) Washington (3-1) - The offense is converting on 47 percent of their third downs, second in the NFL. They've had six straight games decided by less than three points - an NFL record.

12) Seattle (3-2) - Look for a big game out of Shaun Alexander. In five prime-time contests he averages 110.4 yards and a 5.6 per carry and tallied seven touchdowns.

13) Kansas City (2-2) - Since 1990, Kansas City is 90-32 (.738) at home, and are 10-6 following the bye week.

14) New York Giants (3-1) - Alex Rodriquez has a new nickname - The Cooler. That's why New York fans are the best.

15) Dallas (3-2) - Julius Jones is questionable against the Giants this week. That's too bad since the Boys rushed for over 150 yards a game against NY last season.

16) San Diego (2-3) - Their three losses are by an average of three points. They took a lead into the fourth quarter each of the losses.

17) Detroit (2-2) - Ironic that with their vaunted receiver depth, rookie Mike Williams and castoff Kevin Johnson will be the go-to guys this weekend.

18) Miami (2-2) - Miami averaged 59.8 yards rushing after four games last year. This year they're gaining 118.5 yards a week on the ground.

19) Tennessee (2-3) - They've won nine of their last 10 against Cincinnati, and McNair has 20 TD's and 3 INT's against them in his career.

20) Oakland (1-3) - Incredibly, the Raiders aren't turning the ball over on offense (3). But their defense isn't forcing any turnovers (4) either.

21) Buffalo (2-3) - I'm calling it right now - Kelly Holcomb will be injured within four games. The Bills have scored a mere six fourth-quarter points, and only 7 percent of their drives have ended in touchdowns.

22) New York Jets (2-3) - 59 percent of Jet drives have ended in a punt in 2005.

23) Cleveland (2-2) - The Browns defense is surrendering 41 yards per possession, worst in the NFL.

24) Chicago (1-3) - Thomas Jones endured a Grad 1+ sprain of the lateral collateral ligament in his right knee. He may not play on Sunday, but it shouldn't hamper him past that.

25) Baltimore (1-3) - The Ravens are yielding an average of 22 points per game. However, they're forcing punts on 68 percent of opponents drives.

26) St. Louis (2-3) - This week the Indy defense finally gets tested, facing a Rams team that averages 384 yards per game.

27) New Orleans (2-3) - The Saints have won three of their last four against the Falcons.

28) Minnesota (1-3) - So, what does a team that's 1-3 and has been a phenomenal disappointment do with its week off? How about a wild orgy on a Bang Barge!

29) Green Bay (1-4) - They started 1-4 last season and ended up winning the division.

30) Arizona (1-4) - Kurt Warner will be ready to go soon, but I think Denny would be foolish to go away from McCown's hot hand.

31) Houston (0-4) - I can't even tell how big a bust David Carr and Andre Johnson are because they're not even getting a chance. Carr has a 99.1 passer rating in his four starts against NFC teams.

32) San Francisco (1-4) - Starting Alex Smith is a foolish, prideful move by Mike Nolan. Behind that offensive line the kid is going to get killed.

Questions or comments for Robert? E-mail robert@docsports.com








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Friday, 12 November 2010

NFL Week 15 Power Rankings


I just wanted to take a second to wish all of you a happy, fun, safe, bizarre, victory-laden holiday season over the next 10 days. And with that, here's a thumbnail sketch of some intriguing games taking place in Week 16:

New York at Washington (-3), 1 p.m. on Saturday

For the second straight week, Washington finds itself locked in a classic NFC East rivalry game with huge playoff implications. The Redskins are clinging to the final NFC slot while New York is trying to lock up the division title and secure a pair of January home games.

The Giants hammered the Redskins 36-0 back in Week 8 in the Meadowlands, but were crushed 31-7 last December in the nation's capital. New York's struggles on the road (9-13 since 2003) have been well documented, and I think they still have a lot to prove. Their patchwork offensive line was outstanding last week, but I believe they'll be overwhelmed by a rabid Redskins defense.

Washington is currently in control of their playoff destiny. They've won three of their last four and can earn their first winning season since 1999 with a victory. The Redskins have only allowed three touchdowns in their last three games, and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games before facing the Eagles (they go to Philly in Week 17).

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (-3), 1 p.m. on Saturday

Since their Sunday night thrashing at the hands of Chicago, the mood around Atlanta has been melancholy and shell-shocked. Falcons owner Arthur Blank issued a statement in the Atlanta Journal-Constitution on Tuesday saying that he will consider this season a success even if the team doesn't make the playoffs. That seemed like waving the white flag to me, and is something that could've waited until after the season. Instead it's almost like Blank has given the team the OK to pack it in.

Tampa Bay is coming off an equally embarrassing loss in New England last weekend. However, they still have the inside track to a playoff slot and will have a rowdy home crowd backing them. The key match up here is the Bucs' third-ranked rushing defense (3.4-yard average) versus Atlanta's top-ranked rushing offense. Tampa Bay is 12-2-1 ATS recently when they win straight up against a divisional opponent.

Dallas at Carolina (-5), 1 p.m. on Saturday

If the desperate team usually wins in the NFL, the Cowboys could take this one in a cakewalk. Dallas has dropped three of its last four games and its playoff hopes are on life support. Unfortunately for the Boys, Carolina still has a shot at the NFC's No. 2 seed and is looking to salt away the South title.

I expect a huge day out of the Carolina defense on Saturday. The Panthers possess the league's third-rated unit; yet saw only one member (Julius Peppers) selected to the Pro Bowl. Watch for their overlooked front seven to ravage a very vulnerable Dallas offensive line. Carolina is a sultry 16-5-1 ATS in its last 22 contests.

Drew Bledsoe was also snubbed when it came to a Pro Bowl bid. His play has tailed as of late (5.8 yards per attempt over the last five games) but his numbers still blow away those of Ron Mexico. In the Cowboys' eight wins Bledsoe has a quarterback rating of 107. In their six losses his rating is just 61. Dallas has won the last four regular season meetings between these two clubs by seven points or less.

Indianapolis at Seattle (-10), 4:15 on Saturday

On the surface this looks like a thrilling match up of the NFL's top two teams. However, with the specter of Jim Sorgi and Dominic Rhodes leading the way for Indianapolis, this one could be the equivalent of a preseason dud.

Seattle is a double-digit favorite merely because it still has something to play for. A victory will seal home-field advantage in the NFC, and would mark a new franchise record for wins in a season. But don't expect a total gimme game. I think Indy will come out firing in the first half, but if Seattle can withstand the initial burst they should be able to pacify Indy as the game wears on.

Tony Dungy is 24-7 on the road with the Colts. He has stated that he won't limit his playbook and that the starters will play "as long as they need to." I don't imagine that will be longer than the first half for Manning, Edge, and Harrison. However, don't be surprised if they do bring their A-game for that first half.

Without further ado, here is my Week 16 Power Rankings:

1) Indianapolis (13-1) - Peyton Manning is quickly becoming the NFL equivalent of A-Rod. When his team is up, he's superhuman. When they need him in the clutch, he's subhuman.

2) Denver (11-3) - The Broncos have won four of their last five against Oakland, and Mike Shanahan is 16-5 against his former team. Yet, the Raiders have been victorious in two of their last three trips to Mile High.

3) Seattle (12-2) - As of right now, Seattle has the lowest strength of schedule in the league with an opponents winning percentage of just .398.

4) Cincinnati (11-3) - Buffalo has beaten Cincy seven straight times dating back to 1988. The Bengals have yet to turn the ball over more times in a game than their opponent.

5) Pittsburgh (9-5) - The word is that Ben can't throw the ball with any control over 20 yards, not 40 yards as was reported in the mainstream media. Ben was 3-0 against Charlie Frye when the two squared off in college.

6) Chicago (10-4) - I'm very happy that Mike Brown got the Pro Bowl nod. He's been one of the best and most underrated safeties in the league for several years.

7) New England (9-5) - New England has won its last 20 games when the temperature was less than 40 degrees. Also, they're 20-1 since 1993 when the kickoff temperature is 34 degrees or below.

8) Carolina (10-4) - The Panthers have scored 111 points in the fourth quarter this season, the third most in the league.

9) New York Giants (10-4) - The Giants, along with the Colts and Panthers, are the only teams with 10 wins against the spread this season.

10) Jacksonville (10-4) - In the four games before Byron Leftwich was injured the Jags were averaging 26 points per game. In the four since he's been gone it's dipped to 18 per game.

11) San Diego (9-5) - The Chargers have the league's fourth-toughest schedule (opp. win percentage of .531). They haven't allowed a 100-yard rusher in 16 games - the league's longest active streak - but face Larry Johnson and his string of seven straight 100+ games.

12) Tampa Bay (9-5) - How huge is that Week 10 two-point conversion to beat Washington right now? Jon Gruden had Joey Galloway simulating Mike Vick this week in practice.

13) Washington (8-6) - Not good times when you're running a story about starting the Oldest Lineman in NFL History (43-year-old Ray Brown), while your opponent is running a story about sending two defensive linemen to the Pro Bowl.

14) Dallas (8-6) - Early reports are that Marco Rivera will not play this weekend against Carolina. Also, middle linebacker Michael Barrow - signed to replace Dat Nguyen - was placed on IR with a torn quad.

15) Kansas City (8-6) - Over the last decade, Kansas City has outscored San Diego by an average of 29-14 at Arrowhead. However, nine of the last 10 overall meetings between these two teams have been decided by 10 points or less.

16) Atlanta (8-6) - The loss of defensive end Brady Smith has crippled this team's front seven. Smith's playmaking ability kept the double teams of Patrick Kearney, who's been a no-show for about four weeks.

17) Minnesota (8-6) - The Vikings began this week as 1.5-point favorites, but by Wednesday the line had already swung to them as 2.5-point dogs. If they win out, they could still win the NFC North title.

18) Miami (7-7) - The Dolphins are looking for five wins in a row for the first time since 1999. The team they beat in '99 for their fifth win? The Titans. Expect to see Sage Rosenfels. Gus Frerotte hasn't practiced because of a sore finger.

19) Cleveland (5-9) - Five of the Browns' losses have been by seven points or less. Cleveland is No. 1 in the AFC in red zone defense (45.2 percent end in TD's).

20) Philadelphia (6-8) - The Eagles have the fourth-lowest payroll in the NFL. Don't feel too bad for how this season has gone because they're going to come back even stronger next year.

21) St. Louis (5-9) - Interim coach Joe Vitt called his offensive line "soft" earlier this week during a tantrum to the press. I expect the line to respond, if only because they're facing a far inferior opponent.

22) Oakland (4-10) - I'm sure that LaMont Jordan is real upset that he isn't playing this week. The Raiders are 27th in the league in time of possession (28:35).

24) Baltimore (5-9) - The Ravens have won five of six at home. In his last three starts against the NFC, Kyle Boller has posted a quarterback rating of 117.2.

26) Tennessee (4-10) - The Titans are just 2-7 against the spread in their last nine games on the road.

23) Buffalo (4-10) - Last week I said that the fans would be storming the field at Saturday's game. Well, police made 22 arrests, and the stadium security manager said that he saw more fans "falling, fighting, and puking" than he ever had.

25) Green Bay (3-11) - This rivalry game against Chicago is the Packers' Super Bowl, so I expect an all-out assault. They've won 13 of 14 December divisional games, including nine in a row at home.

27) Arizona (4-10) - It had to be tough for Pro Bowl voters to select Larry Fitzgerald over Anquan Boldin, seeing that both are in the top five in the league in both receptions and yards.

28) New Orleans (3-11) - New Orleans is 29-5 under Jim Haslett when they enter halftime with the lead. Do you think he broke out that stat when he went to the owner and demanded a five-year extension?

29) Detroit (4-10) - I bet the guy printing the "Fire Millen!" T-shirts is having a merry Christmas.

30) New York Jets (3-11) - No beer at the stadium? I know the Jets play like a college team, but do they have to start adopting their rules as well?

31) San Francisco (2-12) - Alex Smith versus Ryan Fitzpatrick. And they're charging money to see it.

32) Houston (2-12) - It's amazing how players can execute when they know that their job, and their family's livelihood, is on the line. Houston actually swept Jacksonville last year and with an upset could actually play a key role in the 2005 season.

Questions or comments for Robert? E-mail him at robert@docsports.com.








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NFL Week 4 Power Rankings


Here is One Man's View of the National Football League in Week 4.

Denver at Jacksonville (-4), 1 p.m. on Sunday

Denver is hoping that they put up a better showing than their last trip to Florida, a 34-10 drubbing in Miami in Week 1. The Broncos looked outstanding on Monday Night, but as my friend Cody used to say, "Win on Monday, lose on Sunday". The Broncos better be prepared for a muggy, 85-degree day in the panhandle, with scattered thunderstorms throughout.

Jacksonville is just trying to keep pace with Indianapolis, which has another cakewalk in Tennessee. The Jaguars should try to take advantage of the fact that Champ Bailey is expected slowed by a hamstring injury. The Jaguars are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games, while Denver is just 3-5-2 in its last ten.

Seattle at Washington (-1.5), 1 p.m. on Sunday

Seattle has been rolling at home, beating a good Atlanta team 21-18 and then trashing a terrible Arizona team 37-12. However, the Seahawks haven't traveled well the last two seasons (6-11 on the road). I don't see them winning more than three road games this season, and this is a great opportunity to get one of them.

Yup, they're undefeated. Washington has claimed its two wins by a total of three points over the Bears and Cowboys. The Redskins are coming off a bye, so they've had two weeks to fortify their home defenses, and Seattle has to make that West Coast-East Coast trip that they like so much. They'll need Clinton Portis to finally bust out if they want this game.

St. Louis at New York Giants (-3), 1 p.m. on Sunday

Like it or not, one of these teams is going to be 3-1 after this week. Each of these clubs is putting up serious offensive numbers, with New York averaging 30 points per game and St. Louis putting up 24.3. The Rams are 2-7 ATS in their last nine away games, and the Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

The Giants had some team dissension this week. Plexico Burress was benched for the first quarter of New York's loss to San Diego Sunday night by Tom Coughlin for tardiness to team meetings the week before. Both Burress and Jeremy Shockey came out in the media and criticized the move as "unfair" after the game. A comment like that isn't surprising coming from two guys who have displayed their immaturity over and over again throughout their young, underachieving careers.

San Francisco at Arizona (-3), in Mexico City, 8 p.m. on Sunday

As you can see, I think these are two of the worst teams in the league. However, I do think that this is an opportunity to for some people to cash in. Arizona is the favorite even though they've been absolutely terrible thus far. The main reasons they're favored - because they're the "home" team, and because they're severely due for a win. However, they've been blasted twice, and lost a "real" home game to St. Louis. Kurt Warner is out, meaning the Josh McCown shit-show is back in business. They can't run the ball, can't stop anyone, and they can't finish drives (though kicker Neil Rackers is a fantasy stud).

San Francisco, on the other hand, did get blasted by Philadelphia and did choke against Dallas. But they at least have a win, and only lost by three to a good Dallas squad. They're building confidence, and their front seven has shown an ability to get to the quarterback (11 sacks). Also, it's supposed to rain all day in Mexico City on Sunday, meaning sloppy conditions. I'm not trying to openly campaign for the 49ers (don't underestimate Arizona's Due Factor) but I'm just saying not to completely dismiss this game.

FREE PICK: I hate taking a visiting team, but I'm going to give Seattle (+2) one final shot before I swear them off on the road forever. They're just 4-13 ATS over their last 17 games, but I just think that they have more talent than the Redskins - who have looked downright terrible in spots. If Washington does win, it won't be by much, so my suggestion would be to get Seattle on the money line and then hedge by including them in a teaser. Best case scenario: you win both bets and double up.

Week 4 Power Rankings

1) Indianapolis Colts (3-0) - If they hold the Titans to single digits, they'll join the 1962 Packers as the only teams to achieve that feat in their first four games. But, statistically, the Colts are only 21st (322 yards per) in the NFL.

2) New England Patriots (2-1) - Seventh most penalties, 30th in rushing, and now they're down a defensive leader and a starting lineman. The Pats have the league right where they want them.

3) Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) - I know they like to pound the ball, but they have to at least attempt to get Willie Parker outside and in space at least once or twice a game.

4) Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) - The Eagles offense (444 yards per game) is tops in the league, even though McNabb has been playing hurt since opening week. The main reason: free-agent-to-be Brian Westbrook.

5) Cincinnati Bengals (3-0) - They are dominating time of possession (35 to 25) and swarming on defense. It doesn't hurt when Carson Palmer is completing 71 percent of his passes.

6) Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) - The Jags look and play like San Diego and the Jets did last season. And like those teams, kicker Josh Scobee (7-for-9) will play an important role in this team's fate.

7) Atlanta Falcons (2-1) - Top rushing team is averaging 187 yards per game on the ground, and are earning 5.3 yards per carry. They should walk through Minnesota's D. However, their secondary is gutted, and the Vikings could shred through it.

8) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-0) - The most important thing about Cadillac running the ball so well is that is sets up third-and-short. The result: the Bucs are converting 49 percent of their third downs.

9) Denver Broncos (2-1) - On the flip side, the Broncos are scoring 20 points per game, but they're only converting 25 percent of their third downs.

10) Washington Redskins (2-0) - It will be interesting to see if the bye week stunted their momentum, or gave them time to regroup and work the kinks out of the offense.

11) Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) - Trent Green took more shots on Monday night than I think he's taken over the past four years. Their home-field edge will be tested by Philly.

12) Dallas Cowboys (2-1) - Looks like Parcells' guys might have a little left in the tank after all, eh? They just better make sure they don't blow their load too early in the season.

13) Carolina Panthers (1-2) - If they're really a Super Bowl contender they will thrash an inferior Green Bay squad in primetime on Monday Night.

14) Seattle Seahawks (2-1) - Ho-hum. The Seahawks are second in total offense (399 per game) and eighth in total defense (283 per). But they still have to prove they can win on the road.

15) Miami Dolphins (2-1) - It's still too early to get too excited. As maligned as their offensive line has been, they've only surrendered two sacks thus far.

16) San Diego Chargers (1-2) - This team is in a great position to pick up a road win, but only if they aggressively attack a decimated Patriots defense.

17) St. Louis Rams (2-1) - These guys are still a sloppy mess. However, they have one mark of a good team: defensively they're stopping teams on third down 75 percent of the time.

18) New York Giants (2-1) - Well, this isn't your father's G-Men. They score in bunches (30.7 per game) and they can't stop anybody (408 yards given up per game).

19) Chicago Bears (1-2) - Any game that Kyle Orton has to throw the ball 39 times the Bears are going to lose. It's such a shame that this outstanding defense is getting wasted on such a piss-poor offense.

20) Detroit Lions (1-1) - Well, Motor City Kitties, what team do you want to be? Overachievers or underachievers?

21) Buffalo Bills (1-2) - They were porous against the run (174 per) even before losing TKO, and the offense is getting restless. They're throwing for only 100 yards per game, and both Eric Moulds and Lee Evans voiced displeasure about it this week.

22) New York Jets (1-2) - Is the Brooks Bollinger Era over before it begins? It wasn't really an NFL season until Vinny Testaverde was involved. OK, now everyone can start playing for real.

23) Baltimore Ravens (0-2) - For their sake, they better have regrouped during the bye week. They need a win over the Jets just to get back into the AFC North race.

24) Tennessee Titans (1-2) - The Titans were aware that Travis Henry was in the league's substance abuse policy before they traded for him, so the suspension shouldn't be too big of a surprise.

25) Minnesota Vikings (1-2) - Offensive coordinator Steve Loney is still calling the plays, kind of. Loney gives them to Tice, who relays them to Culpepper. Tice did change some calls during Sunday's win over New Orleans.

26) New Orleans Saints (1-2) - I know they have excuses, but having the second-worst turnover ratio (-7) and the worst penalty numbers (12 per game) is just sloppiness.

27) Oakland Raiders (0-3) - The front seven has played well, but they wear down in the fourth quarter in part because the offense is 28th in time of possession (27:41). They've had a brutal schedule so far.

28) Cleveland Browns (1-2) - Their offense is only on the field for 26 minutes a game. I bet the Ravens wish they still had Trent Dilfer (who is completing 67% of his passes).

29) San Francisco 49ers (1-2) - Though playing at home, Tim Rattay had to move out of the shotgun and under center last week against Dallas because Cowboys fans were too loud.

30) Houston Texans (0-2) - The Texans reshuffled their deck during the bye week. They better hope for a good hand against a Cincinnati team that's dealing.

31) Green Bay Packers (0-3) - A -8 turnover differential is the NFL equivalent of moldy cheese.

32) Arizona Cardinals (0-3) - It's amazing that the media-savvy NFL execs really picked the Cardinals and Niners to go to Mexico and represent the league in a new market. How do you say "McCown sucks!" in Spanish?

Questions or comments for Robert? e-mail robert@docsports.com.

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